Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
43.7% (![]() | 25.84% (![]() | 30.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% (![]() | 50.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% (![]() | 72.72% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% (![]() | 23.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% (![]() | 30.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% (![]() | 67.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 10.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 12.28% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 62 |
2 | Benfica | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 59 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 53 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 43 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 34 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
11 | Nacional | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 29 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |