MX23RW : Sunday, December 29 05:27:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Nacional

Rio Ave
vs.
Nacional

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Rio Ave 1-0 Nacional

Rio Ave and Nacional have struggled for consistency this season and find themselves scrambling for points in the bottom half of the table heading into the midway point of the season. However, the Vilacondenses have proven tough to crack at home this season and we predict that they will come away with the desired results, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 25.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result
Rio AveDrawNacional
48.5% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26) 25.61% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.88% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.78% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.208 -0.21)52.47% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.175 -0.18)74.14% (0.176 0.18)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)21.65% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.304 -0.3)54.77% (0.305 0.31)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.036999999999992 0.04)35.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.038 0.04)71.93% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 48.5%
    Nacional 25.88%
    Draw 25.61%
Rio AveDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.88%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Nacional?

Rio Ave
Draw
Nacional
Rio Ave
100%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 10.30am
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
1-1
Nacional
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Nacional
1-2
Rio Ave
Eduardo Teodora da Silva (11')
Azouni (16')
Aderlan (51'), Mane (90+4')
Augusto (84')
Feb 5, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Rio Ave
0-0
Nacional
Tarantini (35'), Coentrao (55')
Azouni (50'), Piscitelli (90+3')
Mar 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Nacional
0-1
Rio Ave

Cerqueira (48'), Goncalves (70')
Jeronimo (36')
Carlos (64'), Nadjack (90')
Nov 5, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-3
Nacional
Lopes (7'), Carlos (45' pen., 67')
Reis (60'), Coentrao (91')
Gorre (24'), Rochez (79' pen.), Witi (89')
Julio (35'), Lopes (45'), Camacho (55'), Marakis (91'), Daniel (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1613124093140
2Benfica1512213782938
3Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente164661825-718
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15Nacional153481021-1113
16SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712


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