Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 25.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
48.5% ( -0.26) | 25.61% ( 0.09) | 25.88% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% ( -0.21) | 52.47% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -0.18) | 74.14% ( 0.18) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.2) | 21.65% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.3) | 54.77% ( 0.31) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( 0.04) | 35.18% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( 0.04) | 71.93% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
14 | AVS | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
17 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
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