Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
24.25% | 28.23% | 47.51% |
Both teams to score 42.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% | 62.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.72% | 82.28% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% | 42.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% | 78.76% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% | 26.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% | 61.85% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 14.93% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-3 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 47.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |