Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 5, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
Arouca

Crysan (21', 45+5')
Pereira (46'), Nene (49'), Ramos (58'), Boateng (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nunes (45+1')
Quaresma (16'), Valderrama (70'), Campi (90+1'), Nunes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Santa Clara 1-1 Arouca

While a win could see Santa Clara rise out of the drop zone, they take on a rejuvenated Arouca side, who head into the game on a four-game winless run. We anticipate both sides will take a cautious approach to avoid another defeat and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
30.05%	27.24%	42.71%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53%

56.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53%

77.47%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99%

34.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31%

70.69%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76%

61.24%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 30.05%

Arouca 42.71%

Draw 27.23%

Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.05%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.71%