Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
28.38% ( 0.15) | 27.45% ( 0.06) | 44.17% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.25% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.07% ( -0.14) | 57.93% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.37% ( -0.11) | 78.63% ( 0.11) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.92% ( 0.05) | 36.08% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.13% ( 0.05) | 72.87% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( -0.17) | 26.08% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.87% ( -0.23) | 61.12% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.38% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |