Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.