Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon1 - 1Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Thursday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
73
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Braga
Considering both sides come into this encounter in excellent form, the contest promises to be much tighter than the previous three at Jose Alvalade. Additionally, the visitors arrive with fresher legs, having last played four days before Sporting's clash with Rio Ave, though we expect the home side to edge this one, given their dominance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
60.11% ( -0.1) | 20.84% ( 0.13) | 19.05% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0.67) | 39.52% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% ( -0.7) | 61.86% ( 0.7) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( -0.24) | 12.78% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.5) | 39.07% ( 0.5) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.42) | 34.29% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.01% ( -0.46) | 70.99% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 60.11%
Braga 19.05%
Draw 20.84%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 60.11% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 19.05% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga
Sporting Lisbon
87.7%Draw
4.6%Braga
7.7%65
Form Guide
