Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Boavista
Saturday, February 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Nacional
Friday, February 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, February 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Benfica moved level with Sporting Lisbon at the top of the table with a resounding victory over Boavista at the weekend and will head into Wednesday's with sky-high confidence. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts a solid home record in this fixture and we see them coming away with the desired result to reach the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
56.72% ( 0.46) | 22.08% ( -0.13) | 21.19% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
