MX23RW : Monday, March 10 11:07:50| >> :600:1053174:1053174:
Gil Vicente logo
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 27, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Sporting Lisbon

Gil Vicente
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Garcia Gonzalez (31'), Carlos (39'), Sa (79'), Bermejo (90+9')
Carlos (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Debast (68')
Harder (7'), Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito (65'), Debast (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Gil Vicente and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, February 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

While Sporting's recent struggles have raised concerns, their pedigree in this competition makes them favourites to prevail, especially against a Gil side reeling from a woeful run of defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawSporting Lisbon
18.48% (-0.536 -0.54) 21.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 59.86% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 53.47% (-1.308 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89% (-1.258 -1.26)44.1% (1.258 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-1.237 -1.24)66.49% (1.238 1.24)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-1.322 -1.32)37.59% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-1.32 -1.32)74.37% (1.32 1.32)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)14.33% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (-0.541 -0.54)42.17% (0.54 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 18.48%
    Sporting Lisbon 59.85%
    Draw 21.64%
Gil VicenteDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.48%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.46 0.46)
0-2 @ 10.16% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.44% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.2% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 59.85%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Sporting Lisbon

Gil Vicente
15.7%
Draw
19.6%
Sporting Lisbon
64.7%
51
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Gil Vicente
0-0
Sporting Lisbon
Garcia Gonzalez (28'), Mboula (63'), Fernandes (90+7')
Reis (56')
Apr 12, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Gil Vicente
0-4
Sporting Lisbon

Dominguez (49'), Kiko (52')
Trincao (7', 31'), Diomande (11'), Andrew (38' og.)
Dec 4, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Gil Vicente
Tiba (43' og.), Gyokeres (52', 56')
Esgaio (39'), Reis (58'), Edwards (59'), Coates (75')
Fernandes (34')
Fernandes (72')
Apr 5, 2023 8.15pm
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Gil Vicente
Morita (16'), Goncalves (22'), Rochinha (82')
Navarro (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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