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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
2 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Horta (20', 45')
Ferreira (38'), Fernandes (45+3'), El Ouazzani (57'), Oliveira (68'), Martinez (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Morita (58'), Hjulmand (81'), Harder (89', 90+4')
Goncalves (13'), Diomande (53'), Hjulmand (80'), Tcherno Quenda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Braga
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-1 Man City
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

While Braga will be looking to secure their seventh league win and spoil Amorim's farewell, Sporting Lisbon boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to maintain their 100% Primeira Liga record with another dominant display at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
31.61% (0.357 0.36) 25.12% (0.161 0.16) 43.28% (-0.519 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.574 -0.57)47.29% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.536 -0.54)69.51% (0.535 0.53)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)28.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.064 -0.06)63.96% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.483 -0.48)21.84% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.738 -0.74)55.06% (0.737 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Braga 31.61%
    Sporting Lisbon 43.28%
    Draw 25.11%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.175 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.28%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
7.8%
Draw
7.8%
Sporting Lisbon
84.4%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 21
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Trincao (8'), Quaresma (18'), Gyokeres (71'), Braganca (73'), Santos (85')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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