Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 0Porto
We said: Braga 1-1 Porto
This is a battle between a visiting side that has thrived on the road in recent outings and a home team that has turned their ground into a fortress. With both teams building their recent success on defensive resilience, a tightly contested encounter is expected, making a low-scoring draw the likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Porto had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
42.11% ( -0.36) | 24.47% ( 0.06) | 33.42% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
