MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:03:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Braga and Sporting Lisbon have both put together a fine run of form to start the season and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Amorim's side have won each of their last three Primeira Liga away games and we fancy them snatching all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.81% (0.463 0.46) 25.66% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.52% (-0.553 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.381 -0.38)48.68% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.349 -0.35)70.79% (0.346 0.35)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.113 0.11)60.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)25.37% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)60.16% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.81%
    Sporting Lisbon 37.52%
    Draw 25.66%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Sporting Lisbon
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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