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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Braga and Sporting Lisbon have both put together a fine run of form to start the season and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Amorim's side have won each of their last three Primeira Liga away games and we fancy them snatching all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.81% (0.463 0.46) 25.66% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.52% (-0.553 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.381 -0.38)48.68% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.349 -0.35)70.79% (0.346 0.35)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.113 0.11)60.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)25.37% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)60.16% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.81%
    Sporting Lisbon 37.52%
    Draw 25.66%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Sporting Lisbon
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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