Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.81% ( 0.46) | 25.66% ( 0.09) | 37.52% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( -0.38) | 48.68% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.35) | 70.79% ( 0.35) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( 0.11) | 60.71% ( -0.11) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.48) | 25.37% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0.66) | 60.16% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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