Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, March 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Estoril
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
64
We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
This match has the makings of a keenly contested battle, with Casa Pia aiming to capitalise on their impressive home run and Sporting's struggles on the road, but given the visitors' dominance in this fixture, they will back themselves to edge past their hosts and strengthen their hold at the summit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.29% ( -0.02) | 20.03% ( 0) | 67.68% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
