Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
42.62% ( -1.14) | 27.67% ( 0.12) | 29.71% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.82% ( -0.04) | 58.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% ( -0.03) | 78.83% ( 0.03) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.62) | 27% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.81) | 62.35% ( 0.81) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( 0.77) | 35.18% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( 0.8) | 71.93% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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