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Arouca
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Boavista
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Estoril
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Boavista

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Boavista

Silva (20' pen.), Janvier (87'), Amaro (90+3')
Bamba (3'), Silva (56'), Johnston (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sasso (45+3'), Agra (71')
Sasso (17'), Tavares (52'), Makouta (52'), Lourenco (68'), Perez (74'), Camara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Boavista

Both teams have proven this year that they are good sides, but neither side scores all too often. As a result, we predict an entertaining but low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
42.62% (-1.14 -1.14) 27.67% (0.122 0.12) 29.71% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 47.31% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)58.18% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.61500000000001 -0.62)27% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.812 -0.81)62.35% (0.808 0.81)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.773 0.77)35.18% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.797 0.8)71.93% (-0.801 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.61%
    Boavista 29.71%
    Draw 27.67%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Boavista

Vitoria de Guimaraes
48.3%
Draw
31.0%
Boavista
20.7%
29
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8.15pm
Boavista
1-1
Guimaraes
Ntep (70')
Ntep (71'), Nathan (90+4')
Estupinan (25')
Mumin (33'), Bamba (45+2'), Amaro (63')
Mumin (77')
Dec 29, 2021 7pm
Guimaraes
1-1
Boavista
Estupinan (81')
Janvier (18'), Estupinan (54'), Silva (71'), Andre (75'), Mumin (88'), Rochinha (90+5')
Ilori (85')
Abascal (45+2'), Cannon (49')
Feb 26, 2021 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Boavista
Rochinha (39'), Andre (63' pen.)
Almeida (58'), Pepelu (84')
Mangas (17')
Mangas (62'), Gomes (79'), Perez (85'), Castro (90+6')
Oct 19, 2020 8.15pm
Boavista
0-1
Guimaraes

Mangas (23'), Sauer (41'), Garcia (63'), Awaziem (80')
Edwards (19')
Quaresma (3'), Fernandes (62')
Feb 2, 2020 8pm
Boavista
2-0
Guimaraes
Carraca (23'), Tavares (55')
Sauer (33'), Neris (39'), Leismann (43'), Cassiano (47'), Tavares (81')

Sacko (37'), Henrique (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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