Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
1 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Bozenik (58')
Sasso (22'), Lourenco (39'), Bozenik (44'), Cannon (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Djalo (13'), Lima (45+1'), Uilton (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Tuesday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Famalicao	5	-5	4
17	Pacos de Ferreira	4	-8	0
18	Maritimo	5	-12	0

We said: Boavista 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Pacos de Ferreira have endured a horrid start to the new campaign and will be desperate to end their losing streak. However, they face a Boavista side who have been dominant in the recent history of this fixture, claiming six wins and four draws from their last 10 encounters. We are backing the hosts to extend this solid record and come away with a slender history, heaping more misery on the floundering Pacenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boavista.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
47.32% ( 0.3)	26.74% ( -0.01)	25.94% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

-0.15)

56.68% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

-0.12)

77.64% (

0.12)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.08)

23.97% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

0.11)

58.21% (

-0.11)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58% (

-0.33)

37.42% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79% (

-0.33)

74.21% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Boavista 47.31%

Pacos de Ferreira 25.94%

Draw 26.73%

Boavista	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.31%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.94%