Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
2 - 0
Vizela

Joel (54' pen.), Guitane (72')
Rossi (25'), Costa (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ofori (35'), Wilson (50'), Kouao (55'), Zohi (90')
Moreira (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both sides head into Tuesday's game separated by just one point and three places in the league standings and this makes for an exciting affair. They are both evenly matched on paper and we predict the spoils will be shared in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Vizela
36.97%	27.15%	35.89%

Both teams to score 50.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04%

54.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76%

76.23%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35%

28.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54%

64.46%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7%

29.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73%

65.27%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 36.96%

Vizela 35.88%

Draw 27.15%

Maritimo	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.96%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.88%