MX23RW : Monday, September 16 12:44:23| >> :60:221:221:
Kelty Hearts
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Elgin City

Kelty Hearts
3 - 1
Elgin

Johnston (32', 40'), Williamson (58')
Cunningham (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cameron (82')
McDonald (45+2')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Kelty Hearts and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawElgin City
31.25% (-0.16 -0.16) 24.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 44.45% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.156 0.16)43.71% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.152 0.15)66.1% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)26.71% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)61.97% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.154 0.15)19.82% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (0.249 0.25)51.9% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 31.25%
    Elgin City 44.45%
    Draw 24.29%
Kelty HeartsDrawElgin City
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.25%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.45%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Elgin
1-1
Kelty Hearts
(Aggregate 1-1 | Elgin win 5-4 on penalties)
Dangana (70')
Dolzanski (15'), Dingwall (64')
Dolzanski (30')
S (45+1')
Williamson (45')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Elgin
0-0
Kelty Hearts
Omar (42'), Hester (75')
Omar (57')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Kelty Hearts
4-0
Elgin
Higginbotham (8' pen.), Agyeman (29', 56'), Tidser (52')
Higginbotham (59')

Omar (58'), Towler (68')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Elgin
2-0
Kelty Hearts
Hester (36', 75')
Mailer (43'), Hester (48'), McHardy (65')

Barjonas (44'), Ngwenya (61'), Philp (78'), Tidser (80')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Elgin
Higginbotham (90+3')
Hill (29'), Forster (37'), Cardle (90+3')
Macphee (30' pen.)
Little (21'), McHale (79'), Dingwall (89')
rhs 2.0
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