Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Kelty Hearts and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Elgin City |
31.25% ( -0.16) | 24.29% ( -0.05) | 44.45% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 58.76% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.16) | 43.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.15) | 66.1% ( -0.15) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% ( -0.03) | 26.71% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.03% ( -0.03) | 61.97% ( 0.03) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.18% ( 0.15) | 19.82% ( -0.15) |