Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
53.05% ( -2.12) | 21.5% ( 0.48) | 25.44% ( 1.65) |
Both teams to score 64.26% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.47% ( -0.59) | 34.53% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.54% ( -0.67) | 56.46% ( 0.67) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% ( -0.83) | 13.24% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.99% ( -1.7) | 40.01% ( 1.7) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% ( 0.9) | 25.94% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% ( 1.2) | 60.94% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |