Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
53.05% (![]() | 21.5% (![]() | 25.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.47% (![]() | 34.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.54% (![]() | 56.46% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% (![]() | 13.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.99% (![]() | 40.01% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% (![]() | 60.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 9.37% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.32% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |