Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 57.59%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.