Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.