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Reading logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Birmingham logo

Reading
2 - 1
Birmingham

Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')

Preview: Reading vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Reading will begin life without Veljko Paunovic at the helm on Tuesday, as they welcome Birmingham City to the Madejski Stadium.

The former boss departed on Saturday after their victory over Preston North End, leaving the Royals 21st in the Championship table, while their visitors sit 11 points and three places better off.


Match preview

Birmingham City's Manager Lee Bowyer on February 9, 2022© Reuters

After being dealt a points deduction early in the season, Reading's survival hopes took another major hit between early December and February, as they had to endure an 11-game winless run in the Championship.

Involved in that run were seven consecutive second-tier defeats, in which the Royals conceded 23 goals, before they eventually posted a goalless draw with fellow strugglers Peterborough United last week.

Ultimately, that run led to the agreement between the club and Veljko Paunovic to part ways, although he did lead them into Saturday's trip to Preston North End.

The Serbian witnessed a dream start, as Lucas Joao gave them an early two-goal lead with a brace, before John Swift made it three in the second half and the Royals held out for a much-needed 3-2 victory despite Daniel Johnson and Cameron Archer pulling goals back for the hosts.

With Paunovic now gone, and Paul Ince set to temporarily take charge, and the Madejski outfit just five points clear of the relegation zone, they will look to make it consecutive wins to give their survival hopes another huge boost.

Reading's John Swift scores their first goal from the penalty spot on February 9, 2022© Reuters

Birmingham also arrive looking to stretch an unbeaten run to three games after correcting their own form in recent weeks.

While Lee Bowyer's men have been relatively comfortable throughout the campaign, they will have been concerned by a run of 11 games between December and January, in which they earned just a single victory and seven points.

Following back-to-back defeats, the Blues took a major step in the right direction as they thrashed Luton Town 3-0 on home turf, with Juninho Bacuna, Lyle Taylor and Onel Hernandez all getting on the scoresheet.

Bowyer's men then earned another commendable point at the weekend, leaving Stoke City with a 2-2 draw thanks to Gary Gardner's equaliser after Jordan James had initially put them ahead in the first half.

Now sitting 18th with an 11-point lead over their opponents, the Midlands outfit will look to post another positive result with the chance to climb another place with a three-point haul.

Reading Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Birmingham City Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Birmingham City's Onel Hernandez celebrates scoring their first goal with Lukas Jutkiewicz on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Paul Ince certainly inherits a Reading squad with plenty of issues, as the likes of Scott Dann, Alen Halilovic, Ovie Ejaria, Josh Laurent, Femi Azeez and Felipe Araruna are all ruled out by injuries, while left-back Baba Rahman was the latest addition to the list of absentees on Saturday.

Given all of those, Ince may look to keep an unchanged team from the one that defeated Preston, other than replacing Rahman with Tom McIntyre.

Chelsea loanee Danny Drinkwater should continue to operate in the engine room alongside Andy Rinomhota, with creative hub John Swift being a key man going forward, having hit 10 goals and provided 12 assists in the Championship this season.

Lucas Joao will again lead the line after his brace, although Yakou Meite will also be vying for a start in the front line.

Birmingham also have several players ruled out for Tuesday, with key centre-backs Teden Mengi and Marc Roberts condemned to the treatment room alongside Troy Deeney and Taylor Richards.

In the absence of Roberts and Mengi, Bowyer deployed a makeshift defensive pairing of Maxime Colin and Kristian Pedersen, while the attack-minded duo of Jordan Graham and Jeremie Bela deputised in full-back roles.

January signings Lyle Taylor and Onel Hernandez have both featured heavily in the front line since their arrival at St Andrew's, while experienced forward Lukas Jutkiewicz will also be vying for a starting berth.

Reading possible starting lineup:
Hein; Yiadom, Morrison, Holmes, McIntyre; Drinkwater, Rinomhota; Ince, Swift, Hoilett; Joao

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Graham, Colin, Pedersen, Bela; James, Woods, Gardner; Bacuna, Taylor, Hernandez


SM words green background

We say: Reading 1-1 Birmingham City

Reading should have renewed confidence from Saturday's win, and a change in management often brings about a boost, but Birmingham also arrive in high spirits and could force a share of the spoils.

We see the two sides cancelling out one another's efforts, given their extensive injury issues and the hosts' need to avoid a defeat.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
47.1%
Draw
36.8%
Birmingham City
16.2%
68
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General view of Birmingham City's St Andrew's taken 2016
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
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20Leyton Orient144281418-414
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22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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