Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Akhmat Grozny3 - 1Orenburg
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 Akhmat Grozny
Friday, November 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Friday, November 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Orenburg 5-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, November 13 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Sunday, November 13 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Orenburg |
51.8% ( 0.01) | 23.82% ( 0) | 24.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
