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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
3 - 1
Orenburg

Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Semenov (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vorobyev (45+6')
Malykh (9'), Sivakov (24'), Stamatov (35'), Ayupov (47'), Perez (59'), Goshev (62')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 Akhmat Grozny
Friday, November 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 5-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, November 13 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
51.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.82% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)68.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.65%
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)33.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (-0.012 -0.01)69.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 51.8%
    Orenburg 24.38%
    Draw 23.82%
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.8%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.54%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 24.38%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Orenburg
2-1
Akhmat Grozny
Sychevoy (53'), Ayupov (68')
Konate (28')
Berisha (41')
Nov 23, 2019 8.30am
Orenburg
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Skoflek (91')
Ayupov (35'), Dovbnya (38'), Malykh (72')
Ponce (36' pen.), Roshi (75')
Gigolaev (33'), Ivanov (64'), Roshi (66')
Aug 5, 2019 6pm
Akhmat Grozny
2-1
Orenburg
Kharin (49'), Roshi (70')
Shvets (23'), Nizic (26'), Glushakov (93')
Despotovic (65')
Shakhov (4'), Despotovic (69')
Apr 8, 2019 3pm
Orenburg
1-3
Akhmat Grozny
Terekhov (4')
Kozlov (3'), Breev (25'), Sivakov (60'), Popovic (73'), Malykh (91')
Ravanelli (37'), Ivanov (48'), Balaj (56')
Sep 22, 2018 5pm
Akhmat Grozny
1-1
Orenburg
Angel (22')
Doumbia (50'), Berisha (80')
Afonin (67')
Popovic (60'), Afonin (63'), Oyewole (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar18116134122239
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit18123337122539
3Spartak Moscow18114336142237
4Dynamo Moscow18105337201735
5Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv1811253326735
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1894528141431
7RostovRostov187562928126
8Rubin Kazan187562526-126
9Akron TolyattiAkron186482234-1222
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1853101929-1018
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala183871117-617
12Nizhny Novgorod1844101534-1916
13KhimkiKhimki183782235-1316
14Fakel182881125-1414
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny182791632-1613
16OrenburgOrenburg1815121633-178


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