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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Krasnodar

Orenburg
5 - 1
Krasnodar

Sychevoy (2', 29', 59'), Vera (23'), Marin (51')
Ayupov (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ionov (43')
Pantaleao (9'), Volkov (15'), Manelov (45+5'), Akhmetov (47'), Petrov (71'), Sorokin (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 2-0 Orenburg
Friday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Krasnodar
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
45.07% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83) 24.09% (0.226 0.23) 30.83% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.24% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (-0.741 -0.74)42.99% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (-0.737 -0.74)65.39% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)19.26% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-1.066 -1.07)50.99% (1.065 1.07)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)26.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.031000000000006 0.03)61.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 45.07%
    FC Krasnodar 30.83%
    Draw 24.09%
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Orenburg
Ionov (28'), Cordoba (66')
Krivtsov (61'), Banjac (68')

Gojkovic (10'), Mansilla (40'), Ayupov (55')
Mansilla (56')
Jun 27, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 4pm
Krasnodar
1-1
Orenburg
Fernandes (43')
Berg (80')
Despotovic (32')
Despotovic (19')
Mar 11, 2019 4.30pm
Krasnodar
2-2
Orenburg
Ari (63'), Skopintsev (73')
Pereyra (23'), Suleymanov (86')
Sutormin (41'), Oyewole (89')
Kozlov (72')
Aug 26, 2018 12pm
Orenburg
1-1
Krasnodar
Kozlov (22')
Suleymanov (88')
Spajic (44'), Kabore (57'), Stotsky (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit118212341926
2FC KrasnodarKrasnodar107301851324
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv1080225141124
4Dynamo Moscow106221810820
5Spartak Moscow11542179819
6CSKA MoscowCSKA105231961317
7Rubin Kazan114341415-115
8Akron TolyattiAkron113351620-412
9RostovRostov113351320-712
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov10325914-511
11Nizhny Novgorod113261121-1011
12Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala1024448-410
13KhimkiKhimki10154916-78
14OrenburgOrenburg111461220-87
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny11065720-136
16Fakel10136417-136


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