Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.28%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.