Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ufa would win this match.