Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.