Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.