Rostov

2 - 1

Baltika

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.