Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.