Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.