Akhmat Grozny

3 - 1

Khimki

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.