Spartak Moscow

3 - 1

Khimki

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 65.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 14.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.