Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow1 - 3Zenit
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ural 3-2 Spartak Moscow
Friday, August 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Friday, August 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 2-0 Fakel
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
35% ( 0.93) | 25.34% ( 0.43) | 39.66% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
