MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:51:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 4.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Wahda

Gabriel (41'), Ronaldo (56' pen.)
Otavio (45+4'), Bento (74'), Al Hassan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakshween (23')
Bakshween (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al-Nassr
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Wahda

While Al-Nassr have not been in full flight this season, their record in this fixture is difficult to ignore, and given their star-studded lineup, we feel the Knights of Najd will secure a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
74.23% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 15.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02) 10.49% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.606 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.50800000000001 0.51)31.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.593 0.59)53.33% (-0.595 -0.59)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)7.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)40.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.524 0.52)77.42% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.23%
    Al Wahda 10.49%
    Draw 15.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.058 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.23%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Al Wahda
3.9%
51
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Nassr
6-0
Al Wahda
Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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