MX23RW : Monday, November 25 17:08:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 4.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Wahda

Gabriel (41'), Ronaldo (56' pen.)
Otavio (45+4'), Bento (74'), Al Hassan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakshween (23')
Bakshween (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al-Nassr
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Wahda

While Al-Nassr have not been in full flight this season, their record in this fixture is difficult to ignore, and given their star-studded lineup, we feel the Knights of Najd will secure a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
74.23% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 15.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02) 10.49% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.606 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.50800000000001 0.51)31.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.593 0.59)53.33% (-0.595 -0.59)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)7.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)40.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.524 0.52)77.42% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.23%
    Al Wahda 10.49%
    Draw 15.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.058 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.23%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Al Wahda
3.9%
51
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Nassr
6-0
Al Wahda
Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1110012681830
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal1191129111828
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al Khaleej116141514119
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun114341110115
9Al Riyadh114341315-215
10Al RaedAl Raed114251616014
11Damac114251819-114
12Al Ettifaq11335915-612
13Al Orubah113171024-1410
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al WahdaAl Wahda112361527-129
16Al Kholood111461321-87
17Al Fayha11146720-137
18Al Fateh11128820-125


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!