MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:40:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 0
Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab

While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
47.72% (0.39599999999999 0.4) 23.81% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 28.47% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.229 0.23)43.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.226 0.23)65.42% (-0.218 -0.22)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.249 0.25)18.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.418 0.42)49.2% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.117 -0.12)63.93% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.72%
    Al Shabab 28.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

Al-Nassr
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Shabab
4.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal15131148143440
2Al Ittihad15131137112640
3Al Quadisiya15101422111131
4Al-Nassr1585229141529
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli158252314926
6Al ShababAl Shabab158252215726
7Al Khaleej157262119223
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun156451815322
9Al Riyadh156451920-122
10Damac155372226-418
11Al Ettifaq155371623-718
12Al Kholood154471927-816
13Al RaedAl Raed154291926-714
14Al Orubah1541101133-2213
15Al Okhdood153391824-612
16Al Fayha152671225-1312
17Al WahdaAl Wahda153391935-1612
18Al Fateh1513111235-236


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!