MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:46:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 0
Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab

While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
47.72% (0.39599999999999 0.4) 23.81% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 28.47% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.229 0.23)43.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.226 0.23)65.42% (-0.218 -0.22)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.249 0.25)18.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.418 0.42)49.2% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.117 -0.12)63.93% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.72%
    Al Shabab 28.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

Al-Nassr
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Shabab
4.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal55001651115
2Al Ittihad5401156912
3Al-Nassr5320113811
4Al Quadisiya531151410
5Al ShababAl Shabab43013129
6Al Ettifaq43014409
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli52127527
8Al Orubah521267-17
9Al Riyadh5212810-27
10Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun42024316
11Al RaedAl Raed41127434
12Al Kholood5113711-44
13Al Okhdood511359-44
14Al Khaleej511327-54
15Al Fayha5113310-74
16Al WahdaAl Wahda5113614-84
17Damac5104710-33
18Al Fateh5104410-63


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!