After stumbling into the new season, Al-Nassr have hit their stride in recent weeks and are currently firing on all cylinders. Castro's side take on a floundering Al Raed side who have struggled for results this season and we fancy them to pick up another huge victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Raed	Draw	Al-Nassr
8.71% ( 0.05)	14.29% ( -0.04)	76.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.17% (

0.4)

32.83% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.47% (

0.46)

54.52% (

-0.46)

Al Raed Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.88% (

0.41)

45.12% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

0.33)

81.03% (

-0.33)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.03% (

0.09)

6.96% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.48% (

0.23)

25.52% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Al Raed 8.71%

Al-Nassr 76.99%

Draw 14.29%

Al Raed	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 8.71%	1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.29%	0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 9.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.99%