Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.