MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:00:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
Ayr United

Airdrieonians
1 - 2
Ayr

McGregor (67')
Watson (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chalmers (21'), Dowds (53')
Senga (71')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawAyr United
40.5% (-0.215 -0.22) 25.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 34.11% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (-0.185 -0.18)47.74% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.171 -0.17)69.93% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.188 -0.19)23.37% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.277 -0.28)57.35% (0.276 0.28)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.014999999999993 0.01)62.21% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.5%
    Ayr United 34.11%
    Draw 25.39%
AirdrieoniansDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Airdrieonians
1-2
Ayr
Carrick (10')
Watt (66')
Watt (90')
Crawford (37'), Shankland (73')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Ayr
3-0
Airdrieonians
Geggan (50'), Shankland (81' pen., 84')
Kerr (23'), Geggan (36'), Adams (48'), Forrest (71'), Bell (76')

Ferguson (81')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Airdrieonians
2-0
Ayr
Russell (4'), Brownlie (27')
Brownlie (45')

Moffat (60'), Shankland (90')
Oct 14, 2017 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Airdrieonians
Geggan (55', 57')
Gilmour (90')
McGregor (29'), Furtado (65')
Ferguson (20')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Ayr
0-3
Airdrieonians
Lithgow (3'), Mackin (10'), Crighton (79')
rhs 2.0
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