Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( 0.01) | 30.58% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% ( -0.02) | 52.76% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% ( -0.02) | 74.39% ( 0.03) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( -0.03) | 24.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( -0.04) | 58.67% ( 0.05) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( 0.01) | 31.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( 0.01) | 68.13% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |