MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:17:31| >> :60:1946:1946:
Ayr United
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Falkirk

Ayr
0 - 1
Falkirk


Syla (50'), McGinty (90+3')
Syla (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henderson (30')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Falkirk in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawFalkirk
36.61% (-3.469 -3.47) 25.59% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 37.8% (3.487 3.49)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (0.324 0.32)48.33% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.296 0.3)70.48% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-1.718 -1.72)25.71% (1.721 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-2.393 -2.39)60.63% (2.396 2.4)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (2.159 2.16)25.05% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (2.898 2.9)59.73% (-2.895 -2.9)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 36.61%
    Falkirk 37.8%
    Draw 25.59%
Ayr UnitedDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.569 -0.57)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.709 -0.71)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.475 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.488 0.49)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.641 0.64)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.442 0.44)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.448 0.45)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.224 0.22)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.204 0.2)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.8%

How you voted: Ayr vs Falkirk

Ayr United
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
Falkirk
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Falkirk
2-1
Ayr
Morrison (66' pen.), Kennedy (83')
Akinyemi (12')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
3-0
Falkirk
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
2-1
Falkirk
McCowan (26'), Geggan (75')
Moffat (36'), Doohan (47'), Muirhead (78')
McManus (42')
McShane (22'), Buchanan (78')
Durnan (47')
Mar 8, 2019 7.05pm
Gameweek 28
Falkirk
2-0
Ayr
McGhee (27', 40')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Ayr
0-1
Falkirk

McDaid (74')
Rudden (56')
Robson (90')
rhs 2.0
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