Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.