MX23RW : Monday, December 23 12:16:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Ayr United

Arbroath
2 - 1
Ayr

Bird (21'), Hylton (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Hylton (71'), Little (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (45+3')
McAllister (26')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 0-3 Arbroath
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 0-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
34.53% (0.912 0.91) 26.82% (-0.153 -0.15) 38.65% (-0.763 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.647 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (0.745 0.74)53.75% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (0.625 0.63)75.23% (-0.62899999999999 -0.63)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.958 0.96)29.55% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.153 1.15)65.58% (-1.157 -1.16)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.1% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)62.48% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 34.53%
    Ayr United 38.64%
    Draw 26.81%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.64%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Arbroath
2-0
Ayr
Hilson (27'), Gold (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Dempsey (38' pen.), McGinty (76')
Adarkwa (57'), Ben El-Mhanni (63')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Arbroath
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (70' pen.), Mitchell-Lawson (89')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ayr
0-0
Arbroath
Shanks (28'), Jacobs (37'), Craigen (58'), McKenna (66'), Hancock (90+2')
O'Brien (81')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Arbroath
1-0
Ayr
Hamilton (50')
O'Brien (7'), Little (67'), Wighton (71')

Houston (45+2')
Ashford (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk18132334142041
2Livingston18106224111336
3Ayr UnitedAyr18104429171234
4Partick ThistlePartick178542011929
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park187472020025
6Raith Rovers176381722-521
7Greenock MortonMorton174761521-619
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton175392330-718
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1843111422-815
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians181314836-286


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!