MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:07:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
Hamilton logo

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Hamilton

Frizzell (65'), Gallagher (86')
McDonald (83'), Bannon (90+3')
McCabe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGinty (83')
Tumilty (44')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-3 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
40.24% (1.475 1.48) 25.75% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 34.01% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.36% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-0.073 -0.07)71.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.738 0.74)24.23% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (1.032 1.03)58.57% (-1.023 -1.02)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)27.74% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-1.181 -1.18)63.31% (1.191 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.24%
    Hamilton Academical 34.01%
    Draw 25.74%
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.01%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hamilton
3-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (14', 90'), McKinstry (38')
Martin (41')
Mochrie (19'), Gallagher (45')
McMaster (16')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Airdrieonians
0-4
Hamilton

Agyemang (12'), Watson (81')
Smith (3'), Graham (9' og.), O'Hara (54'), McGowan (82')
Hendrie (56'), McGowan (64')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hamilton
2-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (47', 78')
O'Hara (45')
Reid (80'), Aiken (87')
McDonald (19'), Armstrong (22')
May 20, 2023 5.15pm
Final 2nd Leg
Hamilton
2-1
Airdrieonians
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-5 on penalties)
Smith (23'), Tiehi (80')
Tumilty (76'), Martin (106'), Smith (120+2')
McGill (90+1')
McGill (34')
May 17, 2023 7.35pm
Final 1st Leg
Airdrieonians
1-0
Hamilton
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-6 on penalties)
Smith (56')
Smith (52'), Ballantyne (68'), Watson (86')
Watson (90+2')

Smith (43'), Shiels (72'), McGowan (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk28186455253060
2Ayr UnitedAyr28166649272254
3Livingston28159438211754
4Partick ThistlePartick2710893333038
5Greenock MortonMorton2781093035-534
6Raith Rovers27104132836-834
7Queen's ParkQueen's Park2796123231133
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton2884163351-1828
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline2876152635-927
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians2855182353-3020


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