Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.