Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match.