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Livingston logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Greenock Morton

Livingston
2 - 1
Morton

McAlear (41'), May (87')
Muirhead (62'), McAlear (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Samuels (90+3')
Blues (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Challenge Cup clash between Livingston and Greenock Morton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 1-3 Livingston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Livingston 3-0 Greenock Morton

 Buoyed by their impressive result against Hamilton, Livingston will return to cup action in high spirits before their Championship top-of-the-table clash against Falkirk on November 16. Having lost their last two away games, conceding nine goals and failing to hit the target across both outings, Morton are in for another tough 90 minutes on Tuesday and we see them struggling at the Almondvale Stadium once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawGreenock Morton
58.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 45.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)53.64% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)75.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)17.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (-0.067 -0.07)48.79% (0.067 0.07)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.41% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (-0.035 -0.04)80.45% (0.035999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 58.91%
    Greenock Morton 17.46%
    Draw 23.61%
LivingstonDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.91%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.46%

How you voted: Livingston vs Morton

Livingston
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Greenock Morton
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Livingston
1-1
Morton
Pittman (54')
Brandon (30'), Pittman (65')
Moffat (71' pen.)
Delaney (3'), Reynolds (73'), Blues (80')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Livingston
3-2
Morton
Longridge (35'), Lithgow (53', 86')
Cadden (69')
O'Ware (18'), Lamie (69')
Lamie (59'), Tidser (85')
Mar 13, 2018 7.45pm
Livingston
1-1
Morton
Longridge (90')
Lithgow (41'), Halkett (55'), Byrne (59')
Byrne (66')
Oliver (88')
Harkins (68')
Feb 27, 2018 7.45pm
Morton
0-1
Livingston

Doyle (80')
Cadden (47')
De Vita (54'), Halkett (60')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Morton
0-1
Livingston

Doyle (40'), Lamie (62'), Russell (90')
Mullen (60')
Gallagher (30'), Byrne (75'), Mullen (80')
rhs 2.0
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