Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
23.93% | 23.89% | 52.18% |
Both teams to score 54.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% | 47.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% | 69.26% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% | 33.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% | 70.56% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% | 18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.93% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |