Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.