Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.