Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
0 - 2
Ayr

Bitsindou (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dempsey (70' pen.), Mitchell-Lawson (89')
McAllister (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 4-2 Partick
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
55.21% ( -0.38)	24.43% ( 0.29)	20.36% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47% (

-1.03)

53% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.88)

74.6% (

0.88)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.54)

19.1% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.9)

50.72% (

0.9)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.29% (

-0.5)

40.71% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.45)

77.29% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 55.21%

Ayr United 20.36%

Draw 24.42%

Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.21%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.36%