Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.