Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.